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Red98
676219.6
359730.1
234242.5
Blue91
6922.2
590221.1
31948.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809940601201401609891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.3
34.736.0
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
blue by 6.2
319
#5
48.70.0
45.845.8
Auto14.1
Teleop27.0
End7.6
Second
3597
#16
30.11.3
26.527.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End8.2
red by 7.9
69
#30
22.20.0
25.825.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.0
Third
6762
#19
19.61.3
16.617.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 1.6
5902
#40
21.10.0
19.219.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed