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Red116
13361.2
490625.5
689522.8
Blue103
526527.8
172933.3
151228.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088720406080100120140160180116103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
61.21.1
56.958.0
Auto19.3
Teleop30.2
End11.8
red by 27.9
1729
#20
33.30.2
33.533.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
Second
4906
#33
25.51.1
22.823.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End7.4
blue by 2.7
1512
#38
28.20.2
26.626.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Third
6895
#39
22.81.1
19.320.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.3
End4.5
blue by 5.1
5265
#25
27.80.2
24.624.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned