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Red85
183117.5
841034.6
147421.6
Blue95
526527.8
50927.3
359730.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638620401001201401608595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.5
30.632.2
Auto11.4
Teleop15.9
End7.2
red by 4.5
3597
#16
30.11.2
27.929.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End8.2
Second
1474
#31
21.61.5
17.318.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End4.6
blue by 6.2
5265
#25
27.81.2
24.826.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Third
1831
#28
17.51.5
14.015.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 9.8
509
#36
27.31.2
25.026.1
Auto11.0
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned