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Red73
50128.2
676219.6
81127.3
Blue108
454624.6
632966.8
403418.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56124010015073108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#34
28.20.8
20.821.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3
blue by 38.6
66.80.0
64.564.5
Auto16.5
Teleop40.8
End9.3
Second
811
#13
27.30.8
22.323.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2
red by 2.7
4546
#27
24.60.0
23.023.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2
Third
6762
#19
19.60.8
18.118.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 1.0
4034
#32
18.50.0
20.220.3
Auto11.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned