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Red96
172933.3
50927.3
767439.0
Blue118
5842.6
632429.6
234242.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031105015020096118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#23
39.00.4
36.536.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
blue by 3.6
58
#6
42.61.1
37.538.6
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
1729
#20
33.30.4
35.134.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
blue by 9.1
42.51.1
37.638.7
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Third
509
#36
27.30.4
25.825.3
Auto11.0
Teleop10.0
End6.2
blue by 2.3
6324
#12
29.61.4
26.928.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned