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Red75
359730.1
172933.3
183117.5
Blue101
264836.3
124720.6
50128.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9076406010012014075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#20
33.30.9
34.733.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
blue by 2.9
2648
#17
36.31.5
33.034.5
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Second
3597
#16
30.10.9
30.129.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End8.2
red by 1.9
501
#34
28.21.5
22.323.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End8.3
Third
1831
#28
17.50.9
18.117.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 3.0
1247
#10
20.61.5
17.919.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsEarned