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Red95
910124.6
151228.2
135018.3
Blue124
905520.0
804646.6
632429.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510405015095124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1512
#38
28.21.9
26.328.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
blue by 18.4
46.61.4
45.346.7
Auto13.4
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Second
9101
#15
24.61.9
23.325.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End6.3
blue by 5.0
6324
#12
29.61.6
28.630.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Third
1350
#35
18.31.9
16.318.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End6.0
blue by 1.7
9055
#14
20.01.4
18.820.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned