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Red81
172933.3
676219.6
590221.1
Blue123
841034.6
13139.9
447326.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76100406012014016018081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#20
33.30.1
33.833.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.3
End8.1
blue by 6.6
131
#11
39.92.2
34.837.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End7.0
Second
5902
#40
21.10.1
21.021.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End5.6
blue by 13.5
34.62.2
32.134.2
Auto11.4
Teleop15.9
End7.2
Third
6762
#19
19.60.1
19.419.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 6.9
4473
#22
26.42.2
23.926.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned