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Red123
456443.2
234242.5
905520.0
Blue120
50927.3
81127.3
767439.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169650150200123120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.443.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End6.3
red by 4.2
7674
#23
39.00.2
38.839.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
Second
42.50.0
42.642.7
Auto13.8
Teleop20.2
End8.6
red by 15.2
509
#36
27.30.2
27.127.3
Auto11.0
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Third
9055
#14
20.00.0
20.220.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.5
blue by 7.3
811
#13
27.30.2
27.127.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2