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Red127
767439.0
81127.3
50927.3
Blue113
447326.4
615337.9
841034.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610650150200127113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#23
39.00.6
38.238.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
red by 1.1
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto12.7
Teleop17.8
End7.4
Second
509
#36
27.30.6
26.527.1
Auto11.0
Teleop10.0
End6.2
blue by 7.3
34.60.2
34.434.6
Auto11.4
Teleop15.9
End7.2
Third
811
#13
27.30.6
26.527.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End8.2
red by 0.9
4473
#22
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End7.2