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Red35
15117.9
872450.2
183117.5
Blue71
790714.2
50125.0
767439.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92820501503571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#21
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto14.3
Teleop27.3
End7.3
red by 11.2
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End10.4
Second
151
#26
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 7.0
501
#25
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End7.0
Third
1831
#19
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End7.1
red by 3.4
7907
#10
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability odds15%Sustainability odds
Activation
52%Activation odds63%Activation odds