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Red143
568743.6
346749.3
802323.1
Blue106
107332.6
872429.4
23829.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125926080100140160180143106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.7
48.649.3
Auto14.2
Teleop25.7
End9.4
red by 16.7
1073
#20
32.60.3
32.332.6
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
43.61.0
42.643.6
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 14.0
238
#10
29.60.3
29.229.6
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
Third
8023
#31
23.11.0
22.223.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End8.0
blue by 6.3
8724
#11
29.40.3
29.029.4
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.4