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Red51
676211.5
183112.1
107332.6
Blue83
46720.5
404127.5
130712.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801001205183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#20
32.60.1
26.826.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
red by 5.1
27.50.6
19.219.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Second
1831
#33
12.10.1
13.213.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.5
End4.1
blue by 8.4
467
#18
20.50.6
23.724.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End7.2
Third
6762
#38
11.50.1
10.210.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.8
blue by 1.1
1307
#16
12.60.6
14.515.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned