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Red64
456440.8
870823.6
124720.5
Blue41
359722.8
287623.1
66320.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7759020401001201406441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.7
32.331.6
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End7.1
red by 17.7
2876
#14
23.11.9
19.217.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End7.2
Second
23.60.7
19.418.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.5
red by 0.9
3597
#29
22.81.9
17.815.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Third
1247
#13
20.50.7
18.617.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End4.8
red by 0.5
663
#39
20.01.9
20.919.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed