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Red67
192229.5
127718.0
359722.8
Blue16
669012.7
130712.6
492515.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5854203040507080906716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.5
20.121.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End6.6
red by 14.5
4925
#27
15.13.9
17.613.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End8.3
Second
3597
#29
22.81.5
17.919.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
red by 10.0
6690
#35
12.73.9
15.011.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End4.3
Third
1277
#23
18.01.5
15.617.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End5.2
red by 5.4
1307
#16
12.63.9
18.314.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed