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Red44
23829.6
549112.7
15113.2
Blue24
359722.8
356617.2
81116.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532040801004424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
29.61.0
20.619.6
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
red by 6.8
3597
#29
22.83.4
19.616.2
Auto2.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
151
#37
13.21.0
15.314.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End3.7
blue by 4.0
3566
#28
17.23.4
19.415.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End6.2
Third
5491
#24
12.71.0
17.216.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 4.0
811
#34
16.73.4
10.97.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed