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Red48
287623.1
476118.6
802323.1
Blue68
81116.7
23829.6
107332.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535602040801004868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#14
23.10.2
14.714.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End7.2
blue by 9.5
1073
#20
32.61.8
25.126.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
8023
#31
23.10.2
16.115.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End8.0
blue by 6.5
238
#10
29.61.8
19.621.4
Auto11.2
Teleop11.3
End7.0
Third
4761
#36
18.60.2
18.918.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End8.7
red by 1.9
811
#34
16.71.8
7.49.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed