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Red154
173535.7
13135.8
632849.6
Blue162
105831.3
7848.7
23838.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912550100150200154162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#13
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 0.9
78
#6
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.3
End8.8
Second
131
#1
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
blue by 2.4
238
#2
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.7
End7.3
Third
1735
#16
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 4.4
1058
#15
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End6.5