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Red100
173535.7
13135.8
632849.6
Blue120
271344.3
870833.7
172932.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131116050100150200250100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#13
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 5.3
2713
#18
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
131
#1
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
red by 2.0
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End7.8
Third
1735
#16
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 2.8
1729
#20
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End6.3