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Red119
175746.4
870833.2
115338.2
Blue115
16639.5
172933.1
15118.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13089050100150200119115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#18
46.40.2
48.648.8
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.9
red by 6.9
166
#22
39.51.1
41.042.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
1153
#28
38.20.2
35.735.9
Auto10.3
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 5.1
1729
#27
33.11.1
32.433.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Third
33.20.2
31.832.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 15.0
151
#21
18.21.1
15.516.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned