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Red58
50124.9
14749.4
192243.6
Blue107
581340.7
105828.7
271341.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712905010015020058107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#29
43.61.3
43.942.6
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
red by 2.3
2713
#15
41.20.5
40.840.3
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Second
501
#13
24.91.3
24.022.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
blue by 15.9
5813
#23
40.70.5
44.343.8
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
Third
1474
#25
9.41.3
9.88.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End2.9
blue by 19.3
1058
#12
28.70.5
29.328.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned