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Red122
632435.8
23839.5
13839.7
Blue94
192243.6
172933.1
226222.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123985015020012294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#20
39.70.6
41.341.9
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
blue by 3.9
1922
#29
43.60.1
42.642.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.8
End7.4
Second
238
#2
39.50.6
37.638.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
red by 6.4
1729
#27
33.10.1
33.533.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Third
6324
#16
35.80.6
34.334.9
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
red by 13.7
22.10.1
19.219.1
Auto11.5
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned