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Red109
50933.9
271341.2
173537.5
Blue142
23839.5
7846.6
175746.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119150050100200250300109142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#15
41.20.4
42.341.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
blue by 5.4
78
#4
46.60.4
49.049.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
Second
1735
#17
37.50.4
35.735.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.7
End7.0
blue by 8.9
1757
#18
46.40.4
48.148.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Third
509
#24
33.90.4
37.236.8
Auto11.4
Teleop15.3
End7.3
blue by 5.6
238
#2
39.50.4
38.238.6
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned