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Red130
287634.1
23839.5
31939.3
Blue152
176849.9
581340.7
271341.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11513550100150200130152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
39.50.4
38.338.8
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
blue by 10.4
49.90.5
48.849.3
Auto11.4
Teleop31.9
End5.5
Second
319
#26
39.30.4
38.038.5
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
blue by 2.0
2713
#15
41.20.5
40.140.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Third
2876
#19
34.10.4
33.634.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.6
End6.1
blue by 6.7
5813
#23
40.70.5
40.641.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0