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Red39
851321.3
580025.8
245818.4
Blue120
589563.0
691129.8
33331.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7215405010020025039120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#12
25.82.6
26.924.3
Auto9.9
Teleop9.2
End6.8
blue by 37.2
63.02.3
63.661.2
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
Second
8513
#26
21.32.6
28.325.7
Auto9.4
Teleop7.1
End4.7
blue by 9.8
333
#28
31.22.3
36.534.1
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
2458
#39
18.42.6
22.820.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 11.5
6911
#18
29.82.3
36.634.3
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned