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Red70
33331.2
22233.1
689730.1
Blue56
255413.3
167217.8
99986.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121330501001502007056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#31
33.12.2
35.933.8
Auto6.5
Teleop20.5
End5.8
red by 15.2
1672
#42
17.81.5
21.520.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Second
333
#28
31.22.2
32.830.6
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 17.9
2554
#34
13.31.5
15.514.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End2.9
Third
6897
#30
30.12.2
34.031.8
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End3.9
red by 23.3
9998
#36
6.82.4
12.09.6
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed