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Red68
36941.5
999910.1
566619.7
Blue90
858810.5
69454.5
573222.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99870501502006890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#17
41.51.1
43.242.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.6
End8.7
blue by 13.0
694
#3
54.50.7
55.454.8
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
Second
19.71.1
24.123.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End5.8
blue by 3.2
5732
#16
22.90.7
22.822.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End4.3
Third
9999
#24
10.11.8
17.215.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 0.3
8588
#33
10.50.7
16.716.0
Auto4.6
Teleop0.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed