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Red59
901532.6
255413.3
911618.4
Blue142
21922.6
253968.6
412230.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8013805010015020059142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#32
32.61.5
37.135.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.5
End8.6
blue by 36.0
68.60.5
68.368.8
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End10.2
Second
9116
#41
18.41.5
27.425.8
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End4.4
blue by 12.2
4122
#11
30.60.5
31.932.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
Third
2554
#34
13.31.5
17.616.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End2.9
blue by 9.3
219
#21
22.60.5
24.324.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned