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Red111
25593.3
127933.1
589563.0
Blue65
691129.8
858810.5
36941.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159605015020025011165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.0
61.261.2
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
red by 21.5
369
#17
41.51.8
42.040.2
Auto8.3
Teleop24.6
End8.7
Second
1279
#19
33.10.0
36.736.7
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End5.3
red by 3.2
6911
#18
29.81.8
34.332.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End5.5
Third
2559
#37
3.30.0
8.48.4
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.5
End2.3
blue by 7.1
8588
#33
10.51.8
16.014.2
Auto4.6
Teleop0.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed