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Red100
871418.8
36941.5
691129.8
Blue94
127933.1
10236.3
7531.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411005015020010094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#17
41.50.2
41.441.6
Auto8.3
Teleop24.6
End8.7
red by 5.2
102
#7
36.30.2
36.436.3
Auto13.8
Teleop15.3
End7.4
Second
6911
#18
29.80.2
29.730.0
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End5.5
blue by 3.2
1279
#19
33.10.2
33.233.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Third
8714
#10
18.80.2
18.718.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End7.7
blue by 12.6
75
#13
31.40.2
31.631.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End5.6