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Red138
33331.2
260152.5
179651.4
Blue81
249540.8
580025.8
108931.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451005020013881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#14
52.50.2
50.851.0
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
red by 11.8
2495
#15
40.80.4
41.240.8
Auto10.0
Teleop21.8
End8.0
Second
51.40.2
49.649.8
Auto11.0
Teleop30.2
End9.8
red by 19.9
1089
#20
31.50.4
31.931.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End7.8
Third
333
#28
31.20.2
29.429.6
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 5.4
5800
#12
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto9.9
Teleop9.2
End6.8