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Red68
689737.8
30320.3
192360.8
Blue115
167653.5
901537.1
691136.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124137010020030040050068115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
60.80.0
60.860.8
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 7.3
53.50.0
53.553.5
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
Second
6897
#16
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
red by 0.6
9015
#13
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Third
303
#8
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 16.3
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.4
Teleop16.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability odds31%Sustainability odds
Activation
87%Activation odds96%Activation odds