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Red99
7533.4
192360.8
125721.8
Blue67
811736.9
5625.7
758727.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127910501502002503009967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
60.80.0
60.860.8
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 23.9
8117
#19
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End9.1
Second
75
#4
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 6.3
7587
#10
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
blue by 3.9
56
#21
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability odds17%Sustainability odds
Activation
92%Activation odds45%Activation odds