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Red74
811725.9
457315.2
314229.7
Blue53
257720.5
127934.7
55512.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67674060801007453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.6
24.525.2
Auto10.7
Teleop10.9
End8.1
blue by 5.0
34.72.2
21.319.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Second
25.90.6
19.920.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End8.7
red by 5.4
2577
#14
20.52.2
21.719.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Third
4573
#32
15.20.6
18.819.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.2
red by 3.3
555
#35
12.02.2
19.517.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed