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Red44
543821.6
55512.0
207021.7
Blue99
599219.6
167645.4
573221.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477502040601001204499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2070
#22
21.71.0
14.213.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End6.4
blue by 23.7
45.42.5
26.929.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.2
End7.8
Second
5438
#19
21.61.0
17.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Level
5732
#18
21.72.5
18.921.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End7.8
Third
555
#35
12.01.0
15.914.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 7.6
5992
#21
19.62.5
21.123.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned