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Red106
127934.7
192335.2
543821.6
Blue74
181122.3
86285.8
48420.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7255020408010012010674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.24.5
26.330.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End10.6
red by 12.9
1811
#11
22.31.5
23.822.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Second
34.74.5
22.827.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
red by 14.3
484
#31
20.41.5
20.318.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.9
Third
5438
#19
21.64.5
16.621.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End7.2
red by 15.9
8628
#36
5.81.5
9.98.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop-0.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed