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Red26
599219.6
686016.1
86285.8
Blue67
167219.9
543821.6
811725.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455702040801002667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#21
19.62.0
19.617.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 6.3
25.90.6
21.221.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End8.7
Second
6860
#29
16.12.0
15.313.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End5.8
blue by 5.5
5438
#19
21.60.6
18.619.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Third
8628
#36
5.82.0
8.86.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop-0.7
End7.0
blue by 14.2
1672
#20
19.90.6
11.812.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed