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Red89
257720.5
1140.8
260013.0
Blue61
22229.8
851320.8
48420.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707040506080901008961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
40.81.2
36.637.8
Auto14.1
Teleop19.0
End7.6
red by 11.0
222
#25
29.81.0
23.722.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Second
2577
#14
20.51.9
20.522.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.4
blue by 0.3
8513
#33
20.81.0
20.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Third
2600
#34
13.01.9
8.610.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 7.4
484
#31
20.41.0
21.820.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed