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Red55
599219.6
22229.8
11439.1
Blue111
21922.7
75219.8
851320.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5058020408010012055111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#25
29.80.2
22.722.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End7.5
red by 7.1
219
#13
22.71.7
14.516.2
Auto11.3
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Second
5992
#21
19.60.2
17.017.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 1.2
8513
#33
20.81.7
19.220.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Third
1143
#37
9.10.2
7.98.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 10.7
752
#7
19.81.7
19.421.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsEarned