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Red64
167645.4
436126.4
21922.7
Blue55
543821.6
245817.4
48420.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73680501001502006455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
27.527.1
Auto10.4
Teleop27.2
End7.8
red by 23.8
5438
#19
21.61.6
19.417.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Second
4361
#15
26.40.4
19.018.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.5
End8.2
red by 6.0
484
#31
20.41.6
25.323.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.9
Third
219
#13
22.70.4
21.421.0
Auto11.3
Teleop7.2
End4.2
red by 5.3
2458
#24
17.41.6
19.818.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed