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Red123
457315.2
167645.4
1140.8
Blue88
167219.9
314229.7
127934.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11187406010012014016018012388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.5
45.345.8
Auto10.4
Teleop27.2
End7.8
red by 10.7
34.70.1
34.734.8
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Second
11
#1
40.80.5
40.741.2
Auto14.1
Teleop19.0
End7.6
red by 11.1
29.70.1
29.729.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.9
End8.1
Third
4573
#32
15.20.5
15.215.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.2
blue by 4.7
1672
#20
19.90.1
19.920.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End8.5