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Red134
31647.0
180749.7
566618.5
Blue143
331443.9
249537.3
901521.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124105406080140160180134143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.4
49.249.7
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End7.4
red by 5.7
43.90.6
43.343.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
Second
316
#4
47.00.4
46.547.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End8.9
red by 9.6
37.30.7
36.737.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
Third
5666
#23
18.50.5
18.018.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End6.9
blue by 3.1
9015
#16
21.60.6
21.021.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5