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Red70
162618.8
901521.6
140339.4
Blue64
30314.6
201616.1
562410.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6664304050607080901007064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.0
25.326.3
Auto12.0
Teleop19.6
End7.9
red by 23.3
2016
#24
16.10.3
26.125.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Second
9015
#16
21.61.0
16.017.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 7.1
303
#26
14.60.3
23.022.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End5.8
Third
1626
#27
18.81.0
19.520.5
Auto11.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
red by 8.7
5624
#25
10.00.3
12.412.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned