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Red75
901521.6
568428.5
689735.8
Blue56
180749.7
566618.5
30314.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69940204060801201401607556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.8
29.930.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End8.1
blue by 13.9
49.72.0
49.247.2
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End7.4
Second
5684
#12
28.50.5
21.622.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
red by 10.0
5666
#23
18.53.3
16.112.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End6.9
Third
9015
#16
21.60.8
16.717.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 7.1
303
#26
14.63.3
20.216.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed