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Red66
30314.6
259040.0
911620.4
Blue83
331443.9
181227.9
29317.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67792040601001201406683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
28.228.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
blue by 3.9
43.90.4
35.535.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
Second
9116
#21
20.40.1
17.217.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
blue by 7.5
1812
#11
27.920.9
38.317.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Third
303
#26
14.60.2
19.019.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End5.8
blue by 2.6
293
#10
17.20.6
20.020.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned