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Red18
29317.2
807517.5
125713.9
Blue67
162618.8
568428.5
758712.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655402040801001201401867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8075
#17
17.54.6
17.012.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End5.3
blue by 11.0
5684
#12
28.50.7
23.624.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
Second
293
#10
17.24.6
27.222.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9
blue by 1.6
1626
#27
18.81.1
16.918.0
Auto11.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
Third
1257
#29
13.94.6
15.210.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
red by 1.8
7587
#31
12.11.1
11.412.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed