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Red19
201616.1
29317.2
813011.4
Blue95
331443.9
465335.2
807517.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629302040801001201401995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#10
17.25.5
22.617.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9
blue by 26.8
43.90.1
39.439.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
Second
2016
#24
16.15.9
19.313.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End4.5
blue by 19.0
35.20.1
31.231.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Third
8130
#30
11.45.5
19.814.3
Auto1.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 6.2
8075
#17
17.50.2
12.412.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed