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Red84
181227.9
568428.5
71416.3
Blue78
901521.6
249537.3
870418.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666755607075808478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#12
28.50.8
24.225.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
blue by 8.9
37.31.1
31.732.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
Second
1812
#11
27.91.3
25.526.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End6.0
red by 6.3
9015
#16
21.61.1
14.215.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Third
714
#14
16.31.3
12.013.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.7
blue by 2.6
8704
#15
18.91.1
16.517.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned