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Red90
201616.1
465221.0
259040.0
Blue73
911620.4
108926.8
807517.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70660501001509073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.0
34.435.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
red by 13.3
1089
#20
26.81.0
26.527.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End7.2
Second
4652
#18
21.01.4
18.119.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End6.6
red by 0.6
9116
#21
20.40.7
19.820.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Third
2016
#24
16.11.6
12.514.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End4.5
blue by 1.4
8075
#17
17.51.0
15.816.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed