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Red80
125713.9
689735.8
562410.0
Blue118
180749.7
807517.5
871419.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509302040608010012014080118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.6
31.933.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End8.1
blue by 13.9
49.71.4
47.148.5
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End7.4
Second
1257
#29
13.91.4
11.713.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 5.7
8714
#22
19.61.9
18.019.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End7.8
Third
5624
#25
10.01.3
8.710.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.4
End3.5
blue by 7.5
8075
#17
17.51.7
16.818.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned